The weather in Longyearbyen can be upredictible and harsh, but historical statistics for March 20 offers hope for ok viewing conditions during the eclipse.
“During the last 15 years there was ten years of sun or partial sun,” says Jon Austerheim, a meteorologist at the Norwegian Meteorological Institute.
The broader historical data for this time of year is also favorable – to a point.
“You have a favorable local climate, both in terms of precipitation and cloud cover,” Austerheim says.
But there are no guarantees.
“Statistically there’s a decent chance of seeing the sun that day, but if it is visible exactly during those minutes is something else,” Austerheim said. “It won’t require more than a small cloud in the wrong spot to ruin the few minutes of totality.”